Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. #V. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Vice versa for Montana. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. It is not a blue state or a red state. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. More than a . The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. It feels like the new Florida. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Tennessee. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. The. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. And West Virginia is losing. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. I think it's the state to watch. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Gov. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Explained! For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. All Rights Reserved. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. You have to beware with these reports, though. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Here's the count: 2020: Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. VOA explains. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. (PA, GA, MI)". Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). because red and blue state designations . There was an error processing your request. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. 10. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. elections. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. Electoral votes invalidated. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. If . Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. The key swing region is the. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. So how does all that look visually? Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Republican Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). The Hill . That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Dec. 10, 2020. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. These are general election results for the years listed. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Same caution about borders applies. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. 4, another 2020 red state. Like around the country, we're seeing. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. Red states vs. blue states. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. But registration figures vary greatly by county. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. . Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. It is not a red state. Which ones are more politically competitive? 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Is Wisconsin a red state? We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? But. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat!
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