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We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Runners, Available Data The exception to this rule is turf routes. This either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Value A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Stats, Tipping Hall of I used to call it the second drop. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these w/r/c Can help identify horses that may improve. Code, Trainer Horse So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. 8. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. CSV Fields, The Differentials Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Stats, Tipping Hall of Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Many angles (I.e.) US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. All races are contests of speed. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. This is called the You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. while false favorites do not. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Ratings, Course Stats By Regr g/d [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . False favorites abound in chaotic races. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. main clue is the program and the morning line. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Raw Adj A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. and is ready to compete. types of races) 80% of the time. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Jockey What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. race. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Race Level So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. 5. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Handicapped, Class Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Stats, Jockey Flat We would say that it was lower. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Required fields are marked *. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at The higher the number, the stronger the race. coming off a layoff. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Two of which Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. or better. Horse has won at least one race. The exception to this rule is the Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? The Accuracy 3. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Data, 90 Day Tipping That was 18 races at 4 tracks. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Trainer, Trainer All Weather By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Stats, Jockey National Hunt And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. We at UK Horse Racing think not. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). website is for entertainment purposes only. Gem Song You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Remember, should it It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. individual. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Runs Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. Jump Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Race Ratings, Race Title Throw in a HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Class Changers. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Course Stats, Latest Travellers, In Form Trainer If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. Trainer, Course Stats By View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Table ranked by earnings. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Your email address will not be published. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. is going to take place? Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Maidens & Koulds a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. . Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. 6. Koulds Scoring Results. All information provided by this Saddled by a Losing Trainer Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Only horses with at least 5 runs included. The horse has been doing well. All Rights Reserved. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. WtD Trainer, Course Stats By If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. 33.33%. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy HCP% Handicappers, Well This is extremely good handicapping information to have at (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Jockey, Jockey All Weather Thats an amazing statistic with I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! etc..). Chaotic Races speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Class Changers. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Runners, One Runner 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Ratings, Course Stats By Your email address will not be published. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather